ONE Fight Night 38 brings one of the strongest cards of the year, featuring high-level MMA, Muay Thai, and submission grappling bouts.
With two world title fights headlining the event, matchups across the card are filled with stylistic clashes that promise high action and meaningful divisional movement.
This complete preview provides a structured look at every fight, key factors, and logical predictions based on fighter skills, recent performances, matchup tendencies, and momentum.
Main Event: Fabricio Andrade vs. Enkh-Orgil Baatarkhuu
Bantamweight MMA World Championship
Fabricio Andrade enters this championship fight as one of the most explosive strikers in modern MMA.
Known for his sharp kickboxing, speed, and confidence, Andrade has repeatedly shown that he can break fighters down with a high-volume, precision-based striking style.
His ability to maintain distance while landing clean shots makes him extremely difficult to pressure.
Enkh-Orgil Baatarkhuu is a strong, durable wrestler with underrated striking.
His biggest strength lies in his ability to grind opponents, absorb damage, and push forward for takedowns.
However, facing a fighter like Andrade means he must close the distance without absorbing clean kicks and knees. That’s a tall order.
Key Factors
- Andrade’s striking speed and accuracy
- Baatarkhuu’s pressure wrestling
- Champion-level experience vs. challenger momentum
Prediction: Fabricio Andrade retains the title
Andrade’s precision striking and championship experience should carry him to either a late stoppage or a dominant decision.
Co-Main Event: Diogo Reis vs. Daiki Yonekura
Flyweight Submission Grappling World Championship
Diogo Reis is one of the most talented grapplers in the world, known for positional excellence, relentless transitions, and complete control on the ground.
His ability to hunt submissions while maintaining dominant pressure makes him stand out.
Daiki Yonekura is a rising talent with slick guard work and quick scrambles. He is dangerous but still evolving.
Key Factors
- Reis’ world-class grappling IQ
- Yonekura’s submission creativity
- Experience in major championship matches
Prediction: Diogo Reis wins by submission or dominant points control
Reis’s high-level experience and positional mastery give him a clear edge.
Shadow Singha Mawynn vs. Mohamed Younes Rabah (Featherweight Muay Thai)
Shadow Singha Mawynn brings heavy pressure and powerful combinations. His style works well in close range, especially inside the clinch.
Mohamed Younes Rabah is taller, rangier, and fights well from distance. He has sharp teeps and elbows, but struggles if he gets crowded.
Key Factors
- Shadow’s close-range power
- Rabah’s long-range striking
- Who controls the distance
Prediction: Shadow Singha Mawynn wins
Shadow’s pressure and clinch strength should break Rabah’s rhythm over the course of the fight.
Nontachai Jitmuangnon vs. Shinji Suzuki (Bantamweight Muay Thai)
Nontachai represents classic Thai Muay Thai — strong guard, heavy kicks, and rock-solid balance.
His experience in traditional Muay Thai gives him a huge advantage in pacing and scoring.
Shinji Suzuki is fast but tends to get slowed down as fights progress against elite Thai technicians.
Key Factors
- Nontachai’s defence and scoring style
- Suzuki’s volume and movement
- Clinch control
Prediction: Nontachai Jitmuangnon wins
His technique, timing, and experience make him the more reliable pick.
Marcelo Garcia vs. Lachlan Giles (Lightweight Submission Grappling)
This matchup features two legends in submission grappling.
Marcelo Garcia is considered one of the greatest grapplers in history.
His butterfly guard, back takes, and guillotine game revolutionised BJJ. Even though he isn’t in his competitive prime, his technique remains elite.
Lachlan Giles is highly respected for his leg-lock system, tactical approach, and high fight IQ.
His run in the ADCC absolute division showed just how dangerous he is against bigger opponents.
Key Factors
- Garcia’s unmatched technique and creativity
- Giles’ modern leg-lock game
- Age and physicality
Prediction: Lachlan Giles wins
Garcia’s technique is legendary, but Giles’ modern competition experience and leg-lock system give him the edge in current-day grappling.
Isi Fitikefu vs. Dzhabir Dzhabrailov (Welterweight MMA)
Isi Fitikefu is a tough, well-rounded fighter with knockout power and strong grappling. He thrives in scrappy fights and has solid durability.
Dzhabir Dzhabrailov brings a strong wrestling base with a grinding style. His pace can overwhelm opponents who don’t defend takedowns consistently.
Key Factors
- Fitikefu’s striking advantage
- Dzhabrailov’s wrestling pressure
- Durability on both sides
Prediction: Dzhabir Dzhabrailov wins
His wrestling control should be the difference over three rounds.
Aliff Sor Dechapan vs. Ramadan Ondash (Strawweight Muay Thai)
Aliff Sor Dechapan is one of the sharper young Muay Thai fighters, with quick counters, excellent reflexes, and strong fight IQ.
Ramadan Ondash brings explosive striking but is less polished defensively. He tends to leave openings during exchanges.
Key Factors
- Aliff’s counter striking
- Ondash’s aggression
- Defensive discipline
Prediction: Aliff Sor Dechapan wins
Better accuracy and cleaner defence make him the stronger pick.
Lucas Gabriel vs. Magomed Akaev (Lightweight MMA)
Lucas Gabriel is a rising lightweight with good boxing and improving grappling. His pressure-forward style makes him dangerous in exchanges.
Magomed Akaev brings sharp wrestling and a smothering top game. He is known for positional control and wearing opponents down.
Key Factors
- Gabriel’s striking volume
- Akaev’s takedowns
- Who dictates pace
Prediction: Magomed Akaev wins
His ability to dictate grappling sequences gives him a big advantage.
Phetjeeja Lukjaoporongtom vs. Martyna Dominczak (Atomweight Muay Thai)
Phetjeeja is one of the most dynamic Muay Thai fighters in the atomweight division. Her speed, accuracy, and aggression overwhelm most opponents.
Martyna Dominczak is technical but doesn’t match Phetjeeja’s speed or power.
Key Factors
- Phetjeeja’s explosive offence
- Dominiczak’s defensive style
- Pace and pressure
Prediction: Phetjeeja wins by stoppage or dominant decision
Her power and speed should prove too much.
Jeremy Miado vs. Avazbek Kholmirzaev (Flyweight MMA)
Jeremy Miado is one of the most dangerous strikers in ONE’s flyweight division. His knockout power and timing make him threatening in every exchange.
Avazbek Kholmirzaev is a powerful wrestler with good top pressure. His path to victory lies in takedowns and controlling the pace.
Key Factors
- Miado’s knockout power
- Kholmirzaev’s wrestling
- Defensive responsibility
Prediction: Avazbek Kholmirzaev wins
Miado is dangerous, but Kholmirzaev’s wrestling and control give him a more consistent path to victory.
Full Fight Card Summary & Predictions
| Fight | Predicted Winner |
|---|---|
| Fabricio Andrade vs. Enkh-Orgil Baatarkhuu | Fabricio Andrade |
| Diogo Reis vs. Daiki Yonekura | Diogo Reis |
| Shadow Singha Mawynn vs. Mohamed Younes Rabah | Shadow Singha Mawynn |
| Nontachai Jitmuangnon vs. Shinji Suzuki | Nontachai Jitmuangnon |
| Marcelo Garcia vs. Lachlan Giles | Lachlan Giles |
| Isi Fitikefu vs. Dzhabir Dzhabrailov | Dzhabir Dzhabrailov |
| Aliff Sor Dechapan vs. Ramadan Ondash | Aliff Sor Dechapan |
| Lucas Gabriel vs. Magomed Akaev | Magomed Akaev |
| Phetjeeja Lukjaoporongtom vs. Martyna Dominczak | Phetjeeja Lukjaoporongtom |
| Jeremy Miado vs. Avazbek Kholmirzaev | Avazbek Kholmirzaev |
Final Thoughts
ONE Fight Night 38 delivers a diverse lineup featuring elite champions, rising prospects, and legendary grapplers.
The main event offers a classic striker vs. wrestler dynamic, while the rest of the card brings stylistic variety that appeals to MMA, Muay Thai, and jiu-jitsu fans alike.
From world title fights to potential breakout performances, this event has all the elements needed to produce highlights and shake up multiple divisions.
The predictions above are based on recent performances, stylistic matchups, and logical competitive trends.
Ashish Lavania is a dedicated combat sports analyst and the mind behind some of the most detailed breakdowns in modern fight media. Specializing in UFC, MMA, and boxing analysis, Ashish combines deep technical knowledge with a fan-first approach, delivering insights that are easy to understand yet backed by real fighting IQ.